geopolitical events 2020

In the nearby Democratic Republic of Congo, weak Islamic State affiliates have also reared their heads. In December 2019, the Conservatives’ with their idiosyncratic candidate Boris … It is an unfortunate reality that most foreign viewpoints about India and its community are dominated by the social evil of the caste system. While these divides will be largely domestic in nature, their impact will be felt around the world. Bakos’s memoir reads like a thriller, combining break-neck action, poignant reflections, and fascinating insights, giving readers a peek behind the curtain into the world intelligence-gathering and counterterrorism. This material represents an assessment of the market environment as of the date indicated; is subject to change; and is not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results. What often is forgotten are the individuals at the heart of these protests, the men and women whose daily lives are at the forefront of why they choose to demonstrate on the street. This series of essays in six parts expertly explains legal issues that have arisen in the former Soviet republics. Drawing in part on rare access to China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs archives, Khan charts the development of Grand strategy under the Communist party from before the founding of the PRC to the present day. Not my first time recommending Stavridis for the end-of-year reading list from possibly the most published Admiral; this work of the former NATO Supreme Allied Commander and Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy Dean is an update on the seminal Influence of Seapower Upon History by Alfred Thayer Mahan. Dr James Rogers – Drones & Military Technology Analyst, Special mention: Drone warfare: Concepts and controversies (Dr James Rogers and Professor Caroline Kennedy-Pipe). The book lays out the current situation where the developing world is fast catching up with the developed world, and how this may affect the near and medium-term future where the West may not be the undisputed leader of the world anymore. Meanwhile, however, in Mozambique, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and West Africa, lesser-known insurgencies bubble insidiously, further from the eyes of Western media. Topics cover diplomatic and foreign affairs, military developments, international relations, terrorism, armed conflict, espionage and the broader elements of statecraft. Across Central & South Asia and Africa, Chinese infrastructure projects continue to develop while little by little, small contingents of Chinese security forces are deployed in force-protection roles, garnering much suspicion along the way. The former (since made into an excellent HBO television series) is a visceral, often darkly funny account of the USMC entering Iraq and conducting rapid combined arms manoeuvres. These attacks are, by definition, terrifying. Online (GMT) 20th November 2020. No statement in the document should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell a security or to provide investment advice. In the current era of populism, Trump, Brexit, Le Pen, and Five-Star, this is a lesson of crucial importance. Assad has all but won in Syria and the international community and his own people are coming to terms with it. Iain Overton’s new book argues they have shaped the modern world to a surprisingly significant degree. 2019 has proven to be another exciting year for Encyclopedia Geopolitica, which celebrated its 3rd birthday earlier this month. Europe in 2019 has continued to experience the increasing stresses of demographic changes and immigration; an issue that has been leveraged heavily by the continent’s political right and continues to influence elections and referendums. There is no guarantee that any strategies discussed will be effective. 2020 has the potential to be a turbulent domestic year in Russia. It is the equivalent of one third of the estimated number of people killed by lightning each year. The biggest story in South Asia for 2019 has been Kashmir, which has seen an abrupt change in the status quo, with far reaching implications. Neither truly European nor truly Asian, neither Western nor Eastern, Russia has continued to be its own beast in 2019. Despite their best efforts to self-advertise, however, they remain fully contained within the more remote parts of Cabo Delgado province, and any support from central Islamic State leadership – to which they swear allegiance – is highly unlikely to grow into genuine operational assistance. Contributor. Major world events will continue to develop, protest-barricades will be erected, lines will be redrawn across maps, and the geopolitical status quo will find itself increasingly challenged. Any readers wishing to develop their own understanding of why President Putin acts as he does and the effect of Russia’s historic and geographic legacy will enjoy Giles’ insights. Rather than serve as the 5th estate, mass media has become the mouthpiece of corporations and governments, in a positioning that appears to be directly opposed to its intended existence as a check-on-power. Enter your email address to subscribe and receive notifications of new articles by email. A fund could suffer losses related to its derivative positions because of a possible lack of liquidity in the secondary market and as a result of unanticipated market movements, which losses are potentially unlimited. International Law and the Post-Soviet Space II: Essays on Ukraine, Intervention, and Non-Proliferation (Thomas D. Grant). Two Geopolitical Events Investors Need to Stay on Top of in 2020 by Guest Contributor Published 29 January 2020 at 09:50. Many problems had been left to fester in the year since Mahdi took charge, and the next Prime Minister will need to tread incredibly carefully and heed warnings that the swamp from which ISIS grew has not been drained. Sua Sponte is the author’s account of what makes an Army Ranger. how similar they are, are they converging or diverging etc. Brexit has also raised questions over Northern Ireland’s commitment to the United Kingdom, and as such the following are recommended reading to better understand secessionist risks across the continent: Economic, political, and cultural stresses have also given birth to multiple disruptive protest movements across Europe in 2019. Understanding this frozen-but-deadly conflict will be critical for those wishing to understand South Asian geopolitics in 2020: Pakistan is staring at a balance of payments crisis in the near future, and has taken out larger loans from the IMF and China. For better understanding of the issue, the following are well worth reading: Despite celebrating its 70th anniversary this year, the People’s Republic of China has been dealing with its fair share of problems, none of which seem likely to disappear in 2020. India’s Spatial Imaginations of South Asia: Power, Commerce and Community (Shibashis Chatterjee). Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’ Trap? While our annual reading list is divided into geographical and thematic sections (see below), the analyst team at Encyclopedia Geopolitica have also put forward a collection of their personal recommendations to start the list. The following are worth reading for an understanding of a potentially significant flashpoint for the coming year: of the would-be Islamic State Caliphate, including the targeted killing of its leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi at the hands of US Special Forces in Syria. He is seen as a legend and mentor amongst the US Military’s officer and enlisted ranks, and as such this is required reading for all seeking to understand the mindset of the US war-fighting machine. The herculean economic tasks he has set himself will only grow larger as public patience thins, and Brazil could begin to see more major protests of its own. Both Iraq and Syria are fractured and poor after years of brutal conflict, both have a high youth unemployment rate, a dissatisfied population, and poor infrastructure. The European Union is also continuing to push legislation on military cooperation forward in response to the combined threat of a resurgent Russia and an inwardly-focused and more volatile US administration. This and other information can be found in the Funds' prospectuses or, if available, the summary prospectuses, which may be obtained by visiting the iShares Fund and BlackRock Fund prospectus pages. The Lands in Between: Russia vs. the West and the New Politics of Hybrid War (Mitchell A. Orenstein). Security forces have become increasingly concerned with spiralling jihadist attacks in Burkina Faso and the Sahel over the last twelve months, and very occasional cross-border raids indicate at least some possibility that the threat could leak onto their own soil. The Tech Wars: Technology will become a frontline of geopolitical competition. West Mosul is still in ruins, Sunnis are still disenfranchised, the Kurds are restive, and the collective sacrifices of the Iraqi people will not easily be forgotten. The following are the team’s recommendations of regionally-focused books worth reading to get ahead of the major events and geopolitical movements that we anticipate will shape 2020: Europe in 2019 has continued to experience the increasing stresses of demographic changes and immigration; an issue that has been leveraged heavily by the continent’s political right and continues to influence elections and referendums. Understanding the mercurial administration of President Trump in terms of both the White House’s geopolitical outlook, and those of individual cabinet members both past and present, will be crucial to anticipating US (and therefore global) geopolitical trajectories in 2020. Geopolitical Outlook -- 2019-2020 September 30, 2019 The United States Intelligence Community is responsible not only for monitoring current events, but also assessing the future strategic environment, looking around the turns and bends in international relations to see what might be coming in … Disclosure: Purchases made using the links in this article earn referral payments for Encyclopedia Geopolitica. Often forgotten when discussing geopolitics is the pervasive effect of international law and how it shapes the actions of political actors. Neighbouring Mali and the wider Sahel have become of increasing importance to French and U.S. counterterrorism missions as a result of the extremism and exploitation that has taken root in the region’s sovereignty vacuum. In Mozambique, Ansar al Sunnah continue to gradually increase the frequency of attacks against civilians and security forces in the North. The territorial claims pushed in the South China Sea by Beijing have continued to agitate regional and international naval operations, and much of the past year has been dedicated to discussing a possible conflict in the theatre. The Management of Savagery (Max Blumenthal). Cases of bribery, money laundering, and meddling by foreign officials, including Western ones, are far more pervasive than might be openly admitted. 31 of January: Brexit. The "rules-based international system proved successful beyond even the expectations of its architects. Given Dr Rogers’ formidable grasp on the topic, “Drone Warfare” is sure to be a deeply enlightening and informative read. Permeating throughout the book is the context of President Putin’s strategy to support the separatist movements in the Donbas while attempting to keep Ukraine’s potential allies distracted with internal issues. Turkey – Kurdish Regional Government Relations After the U.S. Withdrawal from Iraq: Putting the Kurds on the Map? Learn about 47 famous, scandalous and important events that happened in Jan 2020 or search by date or keyword. Sign in. Permeating throughout the book is the context of President Putin’s strategy to support the separatist movements in the Donbas while attempting to keep Ukraine’s potential allies distracted with internal issues. However, with no end-state post-invasion it quickly becomes apparent that Iraq is in for a harsh future. With a full year of geopolitical events slated for 2020, consider watching ETF activity to provide insight into market sentiment. What is 2020 likely to mean for the financial markets? Generation Kill: Devil Dogs, Ice Man, Captain America, and the New Face of American War (Evan Wright). Nowhere will the continental changes ahead be tracked more closely than in the corridors of power of the largest economy in the region by far – Brazil. The entire book also has the impact of globalisation in the Indian Subcontinent woven deeply into it. Similar to the cells operating in Mozambique, however, their capabilities are no realistic threat to central governance – even in the midst of an unpredictable Ebola outbreak in the east of the country. Charlie Song – Espionage and Global Security Analyst, Sua Sponte: The Forging of a Modern American Ranger (Dick Couch). : 6 August: Egypt and Greece sign a maritime boundary treaty, establishing exclusive … Situation Reports - November 22, 2020 Turkish actions in the Eastern Mediterranean have mirrored China’s actions in the South China Sea. Instead she spends a decade as an outspoken adviser and expert, attempting to bring much needed stability to the country and outside perspective to a spiralling situation. All the while, the profiteers of the cities’ parallel and shadow economies will only watch with indifference. Finally, this piece tackles India’s social traditions and how some have lost importance, but other new ones have gained traction. © 2020 BlackRock, Inc. All rights reserved. US military policy brings a lot of uncertainty heading in to 2020. Freedman’s unique perspective on this conflict sheds new light on a complex and globally-significant conflict, and challenges the idea of Putin both as geopolitical poker master and international puppet-master. The events in the Mediterranean and North Africa are part of that. … Sea Power: The History and Geopolitics of the World’s Oceans (James Stavridis). Blaber’s story seems unremarkable, in a positive way, he seems like any normal American child in suburban America albeit with a slight deviant streak. This book presents a more holistic and complete viewpoint, the way India imagines itself and its surroundings. Our broad indicator tracking geopolitical risk events was elevated most of the summer and fall before moving lower in the last 30 days (Figure 1). London and Brussels will spend the year in talks over a free trade agreement, but the complexity of the negotiations will make it difficult for them to reach an accord in 2020. Al Qaeda affiliates in the Sahel already benefit from taxing the West African drug smuggling corridor, however gaining control of any territory closer to the Gulf of Guinea is highly unlikely. Launch of the Strategic Survey 2020: Exploring the geopolitical trends that will define 2021 and beyond. To Russia’s West in the Baltics, the buildup of NATO forces is ongoing, while the Kremlin has responded in kind inside the Kaliningrad oblast and Russia itself. As the year progresses, if more resources and attention is put into this emerging group, it could gradually gain legitimacy on the world stage, and is worth understanding. These operations have been on display in Crimea, Moldova, and Montenegro, and have extended even to major democracies such as France the United Kingdom, and the United States. These examples are powder kegs which could not only escalate at any moment, plunging the immediate area further into conflict, but could set off chain reactions that embroil the world in war. list of suggestions for those seeking to better understand the coming year’s geopolitical movements, including academic textbooks, historical studies and insights from some of the world’s greatest geopolitical minds. The international community also seems to be finally waking up to the situation in Xinjiang and the treatment of Muslim Uighurs, and protests in Hong Kong against mainland interference have raged since June and show no sign of stopping. The Great Decoupling. As an independent publication, our writers are volunteers from within the professional geopolitical intelligence community, and referrals like this support our ability to create future content by funding server time and domain fees. 25, 2020 0 Russian Ambassador to Belarus Dmitry Mezentsev expressed confidence that Russia and Belarus will find a mutually acceptable solution … Many investors use ETFs for an efficient, flexible way to express a market view on a political event. U.S. election implications for ETF investors. What to watch in geopolitics in 2020. Login. Despite the abrupt drop in Jihadi terrorism-related deaths in Europe in recent years, Islam and migration-related issues continue to be heavily scrutinised from a security and political perspective, and this year has seen several incidents of far-right, anti-immigrant/islamic violence. It’s a common question at this time of year, but it’s extremely difficult to answer. In researching the book, the author has interviewed Indian policymakers to gain deeper knowledge of the complex issues at play, and hence this book represents not just the personal view of the author, but an insight into the Indian geopolitical mindset. But hybrid warfare has been part and parcel of Russia’s relationship with the West for far longer, and has been honed through many years of covert influencing of the states between Russia and the West—the ones which used to be firmly within Moscow’s sphere of influence. To better understand the history and situation of Taipei and Beijing’s relationship, the following are suggested: China’s “One Belt, One Road” (OBOR) plan to revive the ancient trade routes of the Silk Road for the modern world continue despite economic uncertainty and debt-trap concerns amongst Beijing’s “partner” nations. Through the essays, the book looks at the age-old debate of realpolitik vs principle-based foreign policy as its main theme. Rojava: An Alternative to Imperialism, Nationalism, and Islamism in the Middle East, Turkey and the West: Fault Lines in a Troubled Alliance, Harpoon: Inside the Covert War Against Terrorism’s Money Masters, The Age of Jihad: Islamic State and the Great War for the Middle East, The Way of the Strangers: Encounters with the Islamic State, The Counter-Terrorism Handbook: Tactics, Procedures and Techniques, Blood Year: Islamic State and the Failures of the War on Terror, Libya remains tattered and in a state of turmoil, French and U.S. counterterrorism missions, From Empires to NGOs in the West African Sahel, Global NATO and the Catastrophic Failure in Libya, Terror and Insurgency in the Sahara-Sahel Region, Sowing Chaos: Libya in the Wake of Humanitarian Intervention, Security Cooperation in West Africa and the Sahel, Unfinished Revolutions: Yemen, Libya, and Tunisia after the Arab Spring, The Politics of Islam in the Sahel: Between Persuasion and Violence, Russian Engagements: On Libyan Politics and Libyan-Russian Relations, The Arab Spring: The End of Postcolonialism, The Arab Uprisings: What Everyone Needs to Know, Saudi Arabia in Transition: Insights on Social, Political, Economic and Religious Change, The Killing in the Consulate: The Life and Death of Jamal Khashoggi, Oman: Politics and Society in the Qaboos State, Algeria Modern: From Opacity to Complexity, Politics and Power in the Maghreb: Algeria, Tunisia and Morocco from Independence to the Arab Spring, Asia’s Cauldron: The South China Sea and the End of a Stable Pacific. And they’ve begun to produce the same kind of geopolitical … Events Search and Views Navigation. Markets cannot ignore major geopolitical events Published Sun, Dec 22 2019 11:05 PM EST Updated Sun, Dec 22 2019 11:07 PM EST Dr. Michael Ivanovitch @msiglobal9 Cooley and Heathershaw shed light on the mystery and reveal just how connected with the world this isolated region really is. Blaber does an excellent job of sharing his personal experiences in ‘the Unit’ without disclosing operational details and blends it with one of his guiding principles he refers to multiple times in his book. McKittrick and McVea explore the history, ideology and heartbreak of the decades-long conflict in a fair and compelling way, making this difficult history accessible to those without a significant background in Northern Irish history. An understanding of the inner workings of the Gulf States, as well as their own foreign policy dynamics will be extremely useful in 2019: Most interesting of the region’s recent developments has been the slow but steady sense of rapprochement between Israel and several of the Gulf states. Assad’s main issue now is attempting to regain normality, to heal divisions if at all possible, and maintain his sovereign borders. Nine key geopolitical forces will shape global politics in the 2020s: 1. Subscribe . At least a quarter of a million people have been killed or injured by suicide attacks since Tsar Alexander II of Russia was assassinated in arguably the first planned suicidal explosion in 1881. The following books are highly recommended for deepening your understanding of Islam and its interaction with the geopolitics of the West: In many ways connected to the issue of immigration and globalisation, the region has continued to experience significant challenges surrounding the United Kingdom’s decision to depart from the European Union. Asia-Pacific: China to report October inflation data. Seemingly bizarre examples – the Crusades, the British Empire, the breakup of the Beatles, Charles Manson, and the founding of the United States – are explored through the lens of political risk analysis in a manner that should remain interesting for both novice readers and analysis veterans. As the site’s editors, Simon Schofield and I would also like to extend a special thanks to our hardworking analyst team, without whom this would not be possible. The recently departed Secretary of Defense writes his (often standard and expected for the role) memoir, with a slight twist, covering Mattis’ lengthy service as a Marine as a foil to his service as a civilian. We suspect that 2020 will be an equally exciting year in the world of geopolitics, and we hope to be able to continue bringing you insightful and informative articles on those niche and under-examined geopolitical developments that we have tried to accurately capture this year. Carefully consider the Funds' investment objectives, risk factors, and charges and expenses before investing. This book discusses Central Asia not as a realm separate from the globalisation and progress of the 21st century, but as one where globalisation has planted its flag most strongly, and is beginning to antagonise the latent forces of radical Islam. In 2019, business losses due to political risk were higher than ever. Rigged! His successor will have to grapple with these issues against the backdrop of a country attempting to rebuild itself from the horrors of the Islamic State. It also sheds light on two other themes that are quite relevant for the so called ‘Asian Century’. China's political and economic landings. As a sequel to his seminal ‘The Shield of Achilles‘, which sets out a comprehensive theory of the state and history, Bobbitt applies this theory to the phenomenon of terrorism, natural disasters, and the proliferation of WMD. Event has taken place Wednesday 13 February 2019. With the departure of the ever-resistant UK, Brussels is likely to continue towards building a more integrated European Army in 2020. Europe´s Leading Geopolitical News Network. That nations between Russia and the West have adapted to take advantage of their unique and precarious position is a stark reminder that the expansion of political freedoms in Europe has come with an unexpected cost, and potentially significant future problems. The following are suggested for an understanding of the region’s geopolitical situation: Algeria, Morocco and other monarchies of the region remain relatively stable after the turbulence that sought to topple them earlier this decade. Keir Giles, senior expert on Russia at Chatham House, sets the landscape for this better grasp with his description of Russian political strategy and doctrine. Cocktails from Hell is a tour de force that examines five of the wars which will be most influential globally, and the smorgasbord of actors and factors coming together which make them so complex. While the new “Great Game” has been played out across the Gulf between Saudi Arabia and Iran for many years now, 2019 has seen several moments where the “Cold War” seemed close to turning “Hot”. Despite this, the continent remains central to global geopolitics, and has proven largely stable in a way that makes it attractive to international investment in a turbulent world. Delivering Daily Geopolitical News, Intelligence and Risk-Analysis focusing on Political, Regime, Manufacturing, Macroeconomic, Energy, Climate, technology, Cybercrime, Military and Terrorism matters In Southeast Asia, the collapse of the Levantine Islamic State will likely carry locally-felt ramifications. As a CIA targeting officer, Nada Bakos was one of the people tasked with hunting down the fearsome Abu Musab al Zarqawi, the leader of al Qaeda in Iraq, the group which eventually became Islamic State. BLACKROCK, BLACKROCK SOLUTIONS, BUILD ON BLACKROCK, ALADDIN, iSHARES, iBONDS, FACTORSELECT, iTHINKING, iSHARES CONNECT, FUND FRENZY, LIFEPATH, SO WHAT DO I DO WITH MY MONEY, INVESTING FOR A NEW WORLD, BUILT FOR THESE TIMES, the iShares Core Graphic, CoRI and the CoRI logo are trademarks of BlackRock, Inc., or its subsidiaries in the United States and elsewhere. As this list contains a staggering 210 books, it is worth considering Amazon’s Kindle “Unlimited” programme as a more cost-effective way to get through the reading list. Concurrently, Beijing continues to slowly outmanoeuvre Taipei on the international relations stage, chipping away at the island nation’s foreign support. , the buildup of NATO forces is ongoing, while the Kremlin has responded in kind inside the Kaliningrad oblast and Russia itself. How events play out in the coming year, and how far Pakistan toes the line of China will confirm or deny these reports. To understand where Iraq is going you must understand where it has come from. Events for November 2020. The theme of Power looks at India’s imagination of soft and hard power, and how it plays a role with its relations vis-a-vis its immediate neighbours. Khan argues that it is the need to secure Party rule and safeguard the integrity of the state that, driven by the leadership’s memories of a violent or unstable past, has been the overarching narrative of Chinese grand strategy for ninety years. Geopolitical Futures. … Rather, an assessment should be made as to whether the information is appropriate in individual circumstances and consideration should be given to talking to a financial professional before making an investment decision.

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